Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.002449 0.002596 0.002752 0.002933 0.003138 0.003363 0.003633
2025-04-06 0.002179 0.002371 0.002586 0.002850 0.003168 0.003548 0.004046
2025-04-13 0.002014 0.002233 0.002488 0.002814 0.003230 0.003761 0.004518
2025-04-20 0.001831 0.002052 0.002316 0.002661 0.003118 0.003726 0.004646
2025-04-27 0.001751 0.001985 0.002271 0.002659 0.003191 0.003938 0.005159
2025-05-04 0.001712 0.001965 0.002281 0.002724 0.003359 0.004304 0.006004
2025-05-11 0.001654 0.001914 0.002246 0.002721 0.003427 0.004530 0.006680
2025-05-18 0.001632 0.001908 0.002267 0.002797 0.003618 0.004985 0.007975
2025-05-25 0.001580 0.001858 0.002227 0.002779 0.003658 0.005187 0.008832
2025-06-01 0.001522 0.001799 0.002168 0.002729 0.003639 0.005278 0.009465
2025-06-08 0.001504 0.001791 0.002180 0.002784 0.003802 0.005749 0.011471
2025-06-15 0.001481 0.001775 0.002179 0.002820 0.003933 0.006191 0.013886
2025-06-22 0.001437 0.001730 0.002136 0.002789 0.003952 0.006414 0.015914
2025-06-29 0.001383 0.001669 0.002067 0.002714 0.003881 0.006413 0.017005
2025-07-06 0.001344 0.001628 0.002027 0.002682 0.003887 0.006607 0.019624
2025-07-13 0.001279 0.001548 0.001925 0.002542 0.003672 0.006200 0.017884
2025-07-20 0.001255 0.001524 0.001906 0.002540 0.003727 0.006508 0.021846
2025-07-27 0.001248 0.001525 0.001924 0.002599 0.003912 0.007242 0.033936
2025-08-03 0.001226 0.001504 0.001906 0.002597 0.003971 0.007632 0.048096
2025-08-10 0.001222 0.001508 0.001929 0.002667 0.004193 0.008669 0.155257
2025-08-17 0.001199 0.001484 0.001904 0.002650 0.004220 0.009036 0.789872
2025-08-24 0.001170 0.001450 0.001865 0.002604 0.004174 0.009107 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001164 0.001450 0.001878 0.002655 0.004365 0.010279 NaN